Brewers vs. Mets Probable Starting Pitchers – July 22 – Bleacher Nation

Milwaukee welcomes New York for a weekday matinee at American Family Field, with a compelling righty-versus-righty matchup on tap: Logan Henderson aims to keep his breakout rolling for the Brewers, while Christian Scott looks to extend a scoreless streak for the Mets. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET.

Game at a glance

  • When: Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • TV: Brewers.TV; SNY
  • Probable pitchers: Logan Henderson (MIL) vs. Christian Scott (NYM)
  • Odds snapshot: Brewers -145; Over/Under 7.5 runs

Milwaukee’s starter: Logan Henderson (3-1, 2.97 ERA)

Henderson is slated for his eighth start and continues to look the part of a rotation riser. Across 33 1/3 innings, the 24-year-old has piled up 38 strikeouts and held hitters to a .200 average, translating to a robust 10.3 K/9 and a tidy 2.97 ERA. He’s kept the damage limited all year, already logging one scoreless outing and allowing one earned run over five innings in his most recent appearance against Miami.

While he has just one quality start to date, Henderson has been reliably steady, reaching at least five frames in six straight turns and averaging 4.7 innings per outing. That pattern hints at early swing-and-miss stuff balanced by a quicker hook, which puts a premium on Milwaukee’s bullpen planning behind him.

New York’s starter: Christian Scott (3-1, 2.87 ERA)

Scott takes the ball for his 14th start and arrives on a heater. The right-hander blanked Philadelphia over 5 2/3 innings his last time out, giving up only three hits. On the year, the 27-year-old owns a 2.87 ERA with a 10.9 K/9 and a .212 opponent average—numbers that underscore his bat-missing ability and command.

Interestingly, despite the strong run prevention, Scott hasn’t posted a quality start yet this season, reflecting shorter outings as the Mets manage his workload. He’s gone at least five innings in two straight and, if he keeps the scoreboard clean again, would notch a third consecutive appearance without an earned run.

What to watch

  • Early punch, limited length: Both starters have missed bats at a high clip but haven’t consistently worked deep. Expect both pens to play a significant role after the middle innings.
  • Whiff potential: Henderson’s 10.3 K/9 and Scott’s 10.9 K/9 suggest strikeout spikes are on the table, especially the first time through the order.
  • Contact control: Opponents are hitting .200 off Henderson and .212 off Scott, pointing toward traffic-limiting outings—one reason the total sits at 7.5.
  • Form check: Henderson enters off a one-run, five-inning effort; Scott is riding back-to-back scoreless appearances and looks to keep that streak alive.

Numbers that matter

  • Henderson: 3-1, 2.97 ERA, 38 K in 33 1/3 IP; one scoreless start; six straight of 5+ innings; one quality start; opponents batting .200.
  • Scott: 3-1, 2.87 ERA; last outing 5 2/3 scoreless with three hits; 10.9 K/9; opponents at .212; seeking third straight 5+ inning turn; zero quality starts so far.

Outlook

A duel of ascendant right-handers sets the tone for a tight, tactical afternoon. With both lineups likely forced to capitalize on limited opportunities, small-ball choices and late-inning relief matchups could swing the result. The odds lean Milwaukee on its home field, while the modest total hints at a game where run prevention—and a timely swing—decides it.

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